The day's news continues to deliver a bountiful crop of theories,
explanations, analyses, opinions and observations that I don't for a minute
believe.
For example:
Raising the tax on capital gains is going to produce more capital. But when
you tax something, aren't you bound to make it less, not more, plentiful?
This brilliant idea is as sound as putting a "windfall profits" tax on the
oil industry and expecting it to produce more oil.
Didn't we try this with the Carter administration at the tag end of the
1970s? The results were as disappointing as much of the rest of the Carter
administration: another bureaucratic maze that did little or nothing to help
the consumer and a lot to hurt him.
The windfall profits tax of the Carter years was, however, a dandy way to
cap every small well in the country. And reduce production in general. (Why
produce more in order to have the profits taxed away?) A tax is a great way
to cut down on supply and therefore increase demand and, with it, prices.
(Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, please note.)
Here's another tried and failed idea, or rather assumption: Appeasing
dictators - like North Korea's Kim Jong Il - will make them tractable and
forthright.
Abandoning the Iraqis will bring peace in our time.
(Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, please note.)
The current economic bump/slowdown/recession will continue indefinitely. But
it's no more permanent than the boom that preceded it. Not till the business
cycle is outlawed will economic trends go only one way.
Remember how the dot.com boom was the New Paradigm? Before that, the Roaring
Twenties were going to be the start of a permanent New Era. Instead, we got
the biggest Depression of them all. There is still a tide in the affairs of
man, and it goes both in and out.
How about if we wall ourselves off from the world's economic troubles by
going back to high tariffs and forgetting free trade? The way the
historically high Smoot-Hawley tariffs, imposed during the Hoover
administration, guaranteed the prosperity of the 1930s. Right.
The best solution to any economic problem is to lower interest rates even
further, print more dollars, and in general inflate the economy.
Economics is an impersonal science in which individual personalities - their
innovations and contributions - don't matter.
Politics has nothing to do with culture, and vice versa.
Our basic problems are economic, not cultural.
Ethanol will cure our energy problems without creating others. The law of
unintended consequences has been repealed.
Economic reforms will make Communist regimes - like Mainland China and
Castro's Cuba - model democracies.
Arms control ended the Cold War, not American determination to win the arms
race and confront the Communist threat.
Manners are only superficial.
Continued... |